I South Asia
1. IISS Strategic Dossier on Nuclear Black Markets
The IISS Strategic Dossier on nuclear black markets provides a comprehensive assessment of the Pakistani nuclear programme from which the Khan network emerged, the network’s proliferation activities, and the illicit trade in fissile materials. In addition, the dossier provides an overview of the clandestine nuclear procurement activities of other states, along with the efforts made both by Pakistan and the international community to prevent the reoccurrence of further proliferation networks and to secure nuclear technology. The final chapter assesses policy options for further action.
According to dossier: “Nuclear Black Markets: Pakistan, A. Q. Khan and the Rise of Proliferation Networks” launched by IISS on May 2 nd, the "Father of the Pakistani bomb" should be former Prime Minister Zulfikar Ali Bhutto on the political side and Munir Ahmad Khan on the technical side, and not the country's disgraced top scientist Dr A.Q. Khan. According to Mark Fitzpatrick, one of the author's of the IISS dossier, Bhutto as his country's Minister for Mineral Resources in the late 1950s and early 1960s, set up the Pakistan Institute of Nuclear Sciences and Technology (PINST) in 1960 and sent hundreds of students abroad to obtain degrees in physics and other nuclear-related science disciplines.
Mr. Fitzpatrick also said that investigators had found no link between the Khan network of nuclear proliferators and the terrorist group that caused the 9/11 attacks on the United States. He said that the Khan network also had no links with Umma Taamir-e-Nao, an NGO whose members allegedly met Osama bin Laden and discussed the production of nuclear weapons with him.
Mr. Fitzpatrick identified Dr Khan as the head of the group that sold nuclear technology and equipment to Iran, Libya and North Korea but said that “the network’s sales to Libya were almost exclusively private business transactions, beyond state control.” The centrifuges sold to Libya were produced in Malaysia, Turkey, Europe and South Africa and trans-shipped in Dubai, the report added. But the report also identified some ‘gray areas’, adding that “past Pakistani governments’ knowledge of and even involvement in A. Q. Khan’s secondary proliferation activities remains open to debate.”
2. Kashmiri Leaders Want Amnesty for Militants and Prisoners
Kashmiri leaders from both sides of the Line of Control (LoC) issued a joint statement calling for a general amnesty for militants and political prisoners and for Government support in facilitating the movement of men and material across the LoC. The leaders also decided to form coordination committees of legislators, women and youth to strengthen and accelerate the peace process between India and Pakistan.
The meeting, jointly organised by former Azad Jammu and Kashmir Prime Minister Sardar Abdul Qayum Khan and Panthers Party Chief Prof Bhim Singh, urged the Indian Government to allow jailed militants and political leaders to start a new life. The statement demanded a general amnesty for all militants and safe passage for foreign militants, and those suffering in jails or still present in Jammu and Kashmir should be given an opportunity to return home. The statement was released at the conclusion of the Heart-to-Heart conference, which was attended by several politicians, academics and journalists from Azad Jammu and Kashmir. Leaders from the Indian side of Kashmir were noticeably absent. Reiterating their commitment to strengthen the ongoing peace process, the joint statement said the conference participants vowed to facilitate the peace process in every respect. They identified harsh restrictions on both sides as impediments for people-to-people interaction between the two Kashmirs.
It was recommended that all the historical and natural routes, including pony, road and rail routes, should be restored to their pre-partition state, said the statement. The statement further suggested that the arrangement regarding cross-LoC travel from before 1956 be restored, including deputy commissioners power to issue travel permits.
3. 50,000 Hindus in India Convert to Buddhism
Several thousand low-caste Indians converted to Buddhism in a mass ceremony in Mumbai on May 30. Almost 50,000 young men, many dressed in white, believed the conversion would give them dignity in a society where they are known as dalit or untouchables. Organisers said the ceremony was conducted to fulfill the dream of Indian leader BR Ambedkar, himself a dalit and freedom fighter. Ambedkar was the chief architect of the Indian Constitution that outlawed discrimination based on caste. He had planned to hold a mass conversion ceremony in 1956, but died a few days before the function.
4. 10,000 More Troops for Durand Line
Foreign Minister Khurshid Kasuri said that Pakistan has increased the number of troops and military posts on the rugged border to check cross-border movement of militants.
NATO Secretary General while addressing a joint news conference with Foreign Minister Khurshid Kasuri said that the NATO troops have been deployed in Afghanistan for peace, stability and reconstruction of the country that will take long time. No withdrawal framework can be announced. The two sides discussed various global and bilateral issues including war on terror and in this context situation in Afghanistan, Indo-Pak peace process, Iran and Iraq, Palestine and bilateral relations They agreed to take new and effective measures to strengthen security along the Pak-Afghan border. President Musharraf, however, told the NATO Secretary General that the Taliban were primarily an Afghan problem and that Afghan and international coalition forces needed to do more at military, political and administrative levels to defeat the insurgency. He said that Pakistan, Afghanistan and NATO are in the same boat and joint efforts were required to curb terrorism and extremism in the region.
Foreign Minister Kasuri said that Pakistan and NATO would start a formal process of consultation to enhance cooperation in various fields. He added that the onus for border control could not be placed on Pakistan alone. Kasuri said Pakistan was directly affected by the rampant of narcotics trade in Afghanistan. He emphasised the need for taking more efficient steps by Afghanistan in this regard.
Kasuri said Pakistan had made huge efforts to enhance stability in the border region. He said that Pakistan had increased the number of troops and military posts on the rugged border to check cross-border movement of militants. He stated that previously we had 80,000 soldiers but now with the movement of some more troops it’s now reached 90,000.
5. World Bank Offers Funds for IPI Pipeline
Vice-President of the World Bank Praful Patel has said that the World Bank is ready to fund the proposed $7.2 billion Iran-Pakistan-India (IPI) gas pipeline project. Patel said the IPI gas pipeline project is “good and quite feasible” and would help cater to the energy needs of Pakistan and India. He said the Bank also supports the Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan (TAP) gas pipeline project. He further said that if Pakistan would come to ask for funding for any of the pipeline, the World Bank would seriously consider extending the funding. He added that in case of materialisation of the IPI gas pipeline, Pakistan would also get the transit fee annually from India, which would play a pivotal role in strengthening its economy. Patel said that IPI gas pipeline project is a win-win situation for Pakistan and India. He again said that in case the Bank is approached to finance the project, it would give serious consideration to the same.
According to official sources, progress has been made in narrowing down differences between Pakistan and India over charges to be paid by Delhi to Islamabad for allowing passage of Iran-Pakistan-India gas pipeline. Now June-end deadline for signing of a tripartite agreement looks achievable with this development on $7.4 billion gas pipeline project. Iran wants to sell natural gas to India and Pakistan at $4.93 per mBtu (at USD 60 per barrel crude oil price). Transportation tariff and transit fee are in addition to this price.
6. Bhutan Takes another Tilt at Election
The small Himalayan kingdom of Bhutan takes another swing at the art of voting, undeterred by the challenges of reaching remote villages and a marked reluctance to abandon the monarchy.
The Buddhist country, sandwiched between Asian giants China and India, is preparing for its first ever election next year by holding a second round of dummy polls. After April's first round produced a turnout of just 30 percent, officials are hoping for a better response from the 400,000 eligible voters this time. But they face major hurdles in their effort to educate people on the finer points of parliamentary democracy.
A draft constitution, due to replace a 1953 royal decree giving the monarch absolute power, has been sent for public consultation ahead of the 2008 polls. Respect for the royal family cuts across generations here, although older Bhutanese seem unable to agree on the need for reform. Acceptance of change was stronger among the young, who have adapted to the shifts in society -- new cars imported from India and radio stations airing songs by the Black Eyed Peas, Gwen Stefani and Bob Dylan -- more easily.
II East Asia
1. Pro-Democracy Activists Rally in Myanmar
Hundreds of pro-democracy activists supported by foreign diplomats rallied on May 27 near the home of Myanmar’s detained Nobel peace laureate Aung San Suu Kyi, lighting candles to mark the election her party won in vain in 1990.
Members of the National League for Democracy (NLD), some wearing T-shirts emblazoned with pictures of Aung San Suu Kyi, gathered at party headquarters, not far from the lakeside home of the democracy icon. They were joined by former student activists, and the crowd of about 350 people lit candles and chanted “Free Aung San Suu Kyi” as they released more than 100 balloons carrying the same slogan into the skies above Yangon. Aung San Suu Kyi was on Friday informed that she would spend yet another year confined to her house, which police barricaded with barbed wire late Saturday, witnesses said.
On May 27, 1990, the NLD won elections here by a huge majority, but Myanmar’s military rulers did not allow it to take power, and Aung San Suu Kyi has since spent most of the last 17 years in detention. Diplomats from countries including the United States, France and Australia joined the pro-democracy activists at their headquarters at midday for a ceremony marking the NLD victory. About 300 activists then tried to march to Yangon’s famous Shwedagon pagoda to hold a prayer vigil for Aung San Suu Kyi, but witnesses said they were blocked by a pro-junta group, provoking tense scenes before they decided to turn back.
The NLD again called for the release of Aung San Suu Kyi and other detained party members, but made clear its wish to hold talks with the junta, which calls itself the State Peace and Development Council (SPDC). “Frank and honest dialogue” should be held between the SPDC, the NLD and the nation’s many ethnic minority groups for the “destiny of the country,” it said in a statement released during the commemorative ceremony. Security was tight at the gathering, with about 50 plainclothes police on guard, many taking photographs and videos of the activists.
III Middle East
1. U.S., Iran to End 27-Year Diplomatic Freeze
The United States and Iran broke a 27-year diplomatic freeze on May 28 with a four-hour meeting about Iraqi security. The American envoy said there was broad policy agreement, but that Iran must stop arming and financing militants who are attacking U.S. and Iraqi forces. Iranian Ambassador Hassan Kazemi Qomi said that the two sides would meet again in less than a month. U.S. Ambassador Ryan Crocker said Washington would decide only after the Iraqi Government issued an invitation.
The talks in the Green Zone offices of Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki were the first formal and scheduled meeting between Iranian and American Government officials since the United States broke diplomatic relations with Tehran after the 1979 Islamic Revolution and the seizure of the U.S. Embassy. The American envoy called the meeting "businesslike" and said at "the level of policy and principle, the Iranian position as articulated by the Iranian ambassador was very close to our own."
The icebreaking session, according to both sides, did not veer into other difficult issues that encumber the U.S.-Iranian relationship — primarily Iran's nuclear program and the more than a quarter-century history of diplomatic estrangement. For its part, Iran's Shiite theocracy fears the Bush administration harbors plans for regime change in Tehran and could act on those desires as it did against Saddam Hussein in Iraq. Washington and its Sunni Arab allies are deeply unnerved by growing Iranian influence in the Middle East and the spread of increasingly radical Islam.
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