Presidential Elections
Issue of the Dual Offices
PML-Q on Re-Election
PML CEC Backs President’s Re-Election in Uniform: The Central Executive Committee (CEC) of the ruling Pakistan Muslim League (PML) on August 4 formally approved the re-election of President General Pervez Musharraf in uniform from the current assemblies, but some senior office-bearers asked the Government to analyze all legal aspects before going for the move. Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz and Chaudhry Shujaat proposed the president’s re-election in the month of Ramazan, but SM Zafar said this would invite the Supreme Court’s intervention. Zafar told the CEC members that they should evaluate the SC’s mood before finalizing the plan.
Federal Information Secretary Syed Anwar Mahmood said that President General Pervez Musharraf would shed his uniform in December after his Presidential Election. The Secretary’s remarks confirmed that President Musharraf not only plans to have the current assemblies elect him, while uniformed, but he will not appoint his successor as Army Chief until the end of the year.
Minister of State for Information Technology Ishaq Khakwani resigned from the cabinet on August 27 in protest against General Pervez Musharraf’s intentions of seeking re-election in uniform. Addressing a news conference at his residence, he said that he had taken the decision on his own as he had been expressing for quite some time that the President should quit the post of army chief and go for re-election on the basis of his performance. He said he is still in the party, but had not applied for ticket for the polls.
PML-Q President Chaudhary Shujaat Hussain has confirmed to President Pervez Musharraf that at least 12 treasury MNAs will not vote in his favour if he would seek election from the present assemblies with or without uniform. According to a report submitted to Musharraf by the PML-Q Chief, 10 out of 12 MNAs will not vote for the President while two are abroad and have no intentions to travel to Pakistan on the day of Presidential Election. The name of MNAs submitted to Musharraf are, Makhdoom Ahmed Alam Anwer, Muhammad Akhtar Kanjoo, Tasneem Nawaz Gardezi, Riaz Hussain Pirzada, Farooq Azam, Makhdoom Syed Ali Hasan Gilani, Sardar Bahadar Ahmed Seehar, Saima Akhtar Bharwana, Chaudhary Ejaz Ahmed, Umar Ahmed Ghumman, Gyan Chand Singh and Engineer Shahid Jameel.
Chaudhry Shujaat Hussain said in an interview with New York Times that President Pervez Musharraf ‘would not risk resigning his military post before his re-election to another Presidential term is assured. In the interview with the New York Times, he said ‘the driving factor behind the General’s decision to resign was the newly independent Supreme Court and the likelihood that the Chief Justice would declare his continued military rule unconstitutional’.
President’s Statements on Re-Election
President General Pervez Musharraf on August 5 flew down to Karachi to brief his staunch ally, the Muttahida Quami Movement, on the ruling coalition’s secretly planned move towards his re-election from the existing assemblies on Sept 15.The President is believed to have told the MQM delegation at the Governor’s House that no article or clause of the constitution bars his re-election as President. Analysts closely observing the ruling coalition’s statements on the President’s re-election, pointed out that the situation will become clear only after the announcement of the polling schedule by the Election Commission.
President General Pervez Musharraf said on August 6 that he would remain in uniform for the Presidential Election , which would be held before General Elections. The President, addressing PML MPAs, MNAs, Senators and District Nazims as well as PPP Patriots legislators, said a decision on his uniform would be made after the Presidential Election. General Musharraf said that it is a constitutional requirement that the Presidential Election be held one month before the end of his five-year term ending in November, so the election would be held between September 15 and October 15.
Talking to Federal and Provincial Ministers, Senators, Members of the National and Punjab Assembly, and District Nazims from Gujranwala, Kasur, Okara, Sialkot, Hafizabad, Sheikhupura, Gujrat, Mandi Bahauddin, Narowal and Lahore at Chief Minister’s Secretariat on August 17, President Musharraf said that he wants to complete the mega projects and reforms introduced by him in the next Presidential term. President Musharraf told the public representatives that he had decided to get himself re-elected after consulting the Constitution. President Pervez Musharraf finally spoke out his heart on the military uniform when he told the treasury MPs that he is under no legal obligation to put it off. He quoted a Supreme Court judgment to endorse his point of view and said the incumbent Chief Justice, Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry was part of that five-member bench that had allowed him to stay in power as COAS-President. But he did not mention as to how long he could hold the dual office.
Legal Views
The CGEP formed by the Pakistan Institute of Legislative Development and Transparency (PILDAT) compiled a policy paper titled "Presidential Election 2007 and Constitutional, Political and Ethical Aspects for General Pervez Musharraf Seeking Election for Another Term." "According to the paper Musharraf can contest the presidential election only after two years of leaving his job as Chief of the Army Staff (COAS).
Commenting on the Government's view that the presidential term expires on November 15, and the election should be held within 30 to 60 days, the CGEP said that the presidential term has to be counted from the date of the vote of confidence on January 1, 2004. The paper cites Constitutional experts as saying that the presidential term, therefore, began with the referred oath taking, and Musharraf has already taken two consecutive oaths - one on June 20, 2001, and the other on November 16, 2002. About Musharraf's re-election by the present assemblies, the paper quoted experts as saying that the Constitution does not allow it.
Barrister Zafarulah Khan said on August 23 rd that President General Pervez Musharraf is not qualified to take part in the Presidential Electionsnow because he is holding dual offices of Chief of Army Staff as well as President of Pakistan.
Barrister Zafarullah Khan who is the aspiring candidate for the upcoming elections of Supreme Court Bar Association (SCBA) said that any act or the hold another office Act 2004, is presently in conflict with various constitutional provisions such as 63 (i) (d) and Article 43 becomes redundant and void. He said that Article 63 (i) (d) has become operative on December 31, 2004 (The President will not hold an office of profit that is President who is in the service of Pakistan). A proviso was added under Article 41 (7) (b) under section 2 (1) or the constitution (Seventeen Amendment Act) Act 2003, to allow President to contest election previously. He further said that Article 43 is still applicable (The President shall not hold an office of profit) was never amended and it is already there and it is applicable now. Barrister Zafarullah Khan said that since the Constitutional provision become operative on December 31, 2004. Similarly the life of this Act of 2004 will come to end as well and is not operative any more. He said that the Oath of President under Article 42, was never amended, he is to act in accordance with the Constitution. Similarly, he said that under Article 244, Oath of member of the Armed forces, the article says on as it, any member of armed forces will not engage in any political activities.
On August 20, Senate sent the bills restricting powers of the Presidentto promulgate Ordinances, the Constitution (Eighteenth Amendment) Bill 2007, along with six other bills, without opposition from the government benches to the concerned committees. The Eighteenth Amendment Bill, if enacted, would restrict the President to promulgate Ordinances during the on-going session of either the National Assembly or the Senate. Currently, the President is not empowered to promulgate Ordinances only when the National Assembly session is taking place.
Date for Re-Election
Sources in the Government said that the Presidential Election would most likely be held before General Musharraf’s visit to the United States next month. The United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) session will start from the third 18 th of September and the President would address the UNGA on September 19 or 20. Minister for Parliamentary Affairs Dr Sher Afgan Niazi said that the President’s election can be held any time on or after September 15 but before October 15. The PPP has indicated that it will abstain from the electoral process if the president contests the election in uniform and Nawaz Sharif has announced that his party’s parliamentarians will resign in that case. Dr. Niazi said that the resignation of any member or members from the assemblies will not affect the presidential election.
Constitutional Petitions and the Presidential Elections
It is most likely that the constitutional petitions related to President's re-election will be decided before the announcement of election schedule.
These petitions include:
- the holding of two offices by the President
- the re-election of uniformed President
- re-election of President by the same assemblies
- the completion of Army Chief's tenure
These petitions raise a constitutional issue that have to be resolved before the re-election of President.
Law experts opine that the Supreme Court believes in an absolute sovereignty of constitution. A few anonymous dignitaries associated with the SC have told that the above mentioned cases will be decided before the President's re-election.
At present, there are more than 5 constitutional petitions and review appeals related to President's re-election. These include Qazi Hussain's petition regarding the tenure of Army Chief. The President of Communist Party, Engineer Jamil has also filed a petition to stop the election of uniformed President, while Jamat-e-Islami and Imran Khan have filed writ petitions against the unlawful election of the President in uniform. Moreover there is an appeal filed by the Lawyer's Forum to declare the holding of two offices unlawful and to review the decision on the 17th Amendment.
General Elections 2007/08?
Electoral Rolls/Election Commission of Pakistan
SC wants Updated List in 30 Days: Petition on Missing Voters
The Supreme Court on August 10 gave the Election Commission 30 days to complete the enrolment of eligible voters not included in the computerized electoral rolls. A Supreme Court bench comprising Chief Justice Iftikhar Mohammad Chaudhry and Justice M. Javed Buttar was hearing a challenge by PPP Chairperson Benazir Bhutto against the draft electoral rolls over alleged irregularities. In her petition, Ms Bhutto has accused the government of committing ‘institutionalized fraud’ with the nation by deleting over 22 million voters from the rolls.
The Election Commission sought 140 days to complete the exercise of registering over 20 million voters. But the court observed that no pretext could be provided for postponement of the General Election. The court ordered the commission to submit a formula for enrolling the voters during the stipulated period and also asked the legal counsel of the petitioner, Sardar Latif Khosa, to meet the Chief Election Commissioner for evolving a mechanism for the purpose. The case will again be taken up on Aug 16.
ECP’s Strategy to Register Missing Voters
The Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) has worked out a strategy to include names of missing voters in the updated electoral rolls. A meeting of the Election Commission was held on August 17 with its Secretary Kunwar Dilshad in the chair. The meeting decided to update the rolls by incorporating the names of all eligible voters present in the voters list of 2002 but missing from the draft electoral rolls. According to Mr Dilshad, the additional lists will be prepared by the verifying officials, under the supervision of the registration officers, including the assistant election commissioners and deputy election commissioners, within 30 days.
FAFEN Rejects New ECP Drive for Missing Voters
The Free and Fair Election Network (FAFEN) has expressed reservations about the Election Commission of Pakistan's decision to reinitiate the door-to-door voters' registration campaign, saying that the drive may be used as a tool to postpone the elections and may result in bogus entries. FAFEN says that the new registration criteria that allows documents without photo identity involves serious risks and needs reviews to be made foolproof. "The condition of matriculation certificate would be helpful to increase the number of registered voters, but it may be manipulated as it does not include any photo identity and more importantly the address. The condition of a certificate by the union council nazims is even more risky, as such certificates can be easily obtained in a fraudulent manner or as a result of partisan considerations. Regarding ECP's decision to re-launch the door-to-door campaign to register missing voters, FAFEN asked how it is possible that the ECP staff will reach only missing voters.
‘Draft Electoral Roll 2007: Flawed but Fixable’ – Report by FAFEN
A report ‘Draft Electoral Roll 2007: Flawed but Fixable’ released by Free and Fair Election Network (FAFEN) was released on August 23.
FAFEN previously has made recommendations to “fix” the 2007 electoral roll by reconciling it with the existing NADRA database, which would be the fastest, least expensive, and most efficient way to add the most names to the list. However, the ECP, following instructions from the Supreme Court, is now comparing the 2002 electoral roll with the 2007 roll. FAFEN has concerns about the authenticity of the 2002 list; and has reservations about the ability of the ECP to correctly verify the names on that list for the purpose of adding eligible missing voters to the draft computerized roll. The ECP needs to take prompt and effective steps to address such concerns.
The FAFEN report is based on a statistically valid audit of the 2007 draft electoral roll conducted between June 13 and July 18, 2007, to verify its accuracy and completeness. FAFEN conducted a List-to-People and People-to-List audit in electoral areas covered by 506 randomly selected Display Centres in 102 districts throughout the country. Unlike previous voters’ lists, including the one used in 2002, the 2007 draft electoral roll contains very few errors of names, addresses and national identity card numbers.
According to the report:
- Around 27 percent households in electoral areas covered by Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) have not been registered in the electoral rolls countrywide.
- The highest number of unregistered households was found in NWFP at 45.53 percent followed by Balochistan 41.22 percent, Islamabad 37.5 percent, Punjab 23.36 percent and Sindh 16.73 percent.
- It said that around 5.3 million households remained unregistered on the 2007 computerized draft electoral rolls, which otherwise is largely free of entry errors.
- The report said that 7,094 households were checked during the audit, of which only 54.62 percent were found to have the exact number of males as were on the list, while 40.13 percent had the exact number of females.
- Out of 7,094 households checked during the audit, only 54.62 percent of households were found to have the exact number of males as were on the list, while 40.13 percent had the exact number of females. Approximately 4 percent of names on the list were duplicate or, potentially, “fake” registered voters, of which the ECP is aware.
- FAFEN also observed the quality of processes implemented 20,994 Display Centres by the ECP Display Centre Information Officers (DCIOs) in order to analyze their fairness, neutrality, and transparency, based on the ECP’s Manual of Instruction. Additionally, 3,226 DCIOs and 25,434 people visiting the Centres were interviewed, and FAFEN studied the activities of political parties and NGOs at 5,558 locations.
FAFEN fully supports the objective of enrolling all eligible voters and is ready to extend any advice and assistance. Based on the findings of its audit and additional analysis, FAFEN reiterates its recommendations for how to “fix” to 2007 electoral roll:
1. The ECP should ensure that the accuracy of the 2007 voters’ list is maintained. FAFEN believes that the ECP had better options to register more voters, for instance, by reconciling the draft roll with the NADRA database. However, as the ECP has now decided to compare the 2002 roll with the draft roll, it is extremely important that only fully verified names on the 2002 list should be added to the new computerized roll.
2. ECP and NADRA can still reconcile their databases so that all individuals currently holding CNICs in areas where elections will be held are automatically added to the 2007 electoral roll. NADRA had issued about 56 million CNICs by March 2007, but only 39-40 million of these individuals are listed on the draft electoral roll. Reconciling the NADRA and ECP databases would add approximately 16-17 million voters to the 55 million currently listed, resulting in a voters’ list with approximately 71-72 million names.
3. NADRA should produce and distribute as many CNICs as possible between now and the election day free of charge, and all of those individuals should be automatically enrolled or at least asked if they want to be added to the electoral roll. NADRA should cooperate with ECP and neutral volunteers to distribute the CNICs in a timely manner so that registered voters can vote on election day.
In addition,
4. Special attention should be given to increasing the registration of eligible women voters nationwide, as instructed by the Supreme Court.
5. The ECP must improve its coordination with its district offices and its operational planning in order to ensure timely flow of instructions and materials through the various tiers of the election administration.
FAFEN will continue observing the ECP’s preparation for the upcoming general elections and is ready to offer any assistance to register as many voters as possible.
Amendments Proposed in Electoral Rolls Act
While more than 30-million voters yet to be registered before next General Election, Ministry of Parliamentary Affairs has proposed amendments in the Electoral Rolls Act 1974, following the directions of Supreme Court. Minister for Parliamentary Affairs Dr Sher Afgan Niazi after detailed consultation with the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) anticipated two amendments in the Act:
- The document made available, revealed that first amendment is in sub-section I of section 18 is allow voters to bring along with a Photostat copy of the identity card issued or deemed to have been issued to him or her under the National Database and Registration Authority Ordinance 2000 shall be omitted.
- The second one is about amendment in sub-section 1 of section 33 in the Act is that any other proof of identity shall be inserted during polling in forthcoming general election. While describing objects and reasons, it said that in the Constitutional Petition No 45/2007 (PPP Chairperson Benazir Bhutto against ECP and others, the computerized Electoral Rolls 2006-07 prepared by ECP has been challenged.
Major Reasons for Flaws in the Electoral Rolls
Herald in August 2007 issue published its observations on the flaws in electoral rolls which resulted in huge number of missing voters.
Deliberate Human Error
- Poll trainers recorded a large-scale repetition of names in the electoral lists. Because the data entry operators were paid per entry they were tempted to copy and paste some names several times to claim more cash.
- In many instances, the lists carry only the first name of an eligible voter. For example Mohammad Ali is abbreviated to Mohammad and Allah Bakhsh becomes Bakhsh.
Ghastly Omissions
- Voters’ names are missing even though their identity card numbers and other details are mentioned.
- Parents’ names are unlisted.
- Relationship details of women are absent. For example the electoral list in Larkana district does not identify women as the wife or daughter of a particular family.
- No mailing address is listed for scores of voters – not a single voter appears to have a postal address in a village of Kambar Shahdadkot district.
- Election trainers speculate that there might be errors in identity card details but admit they cannot verify this due to lack of staff.
Incorrect Entries
- Traditional Sindhi or Baloch names have been made to conform to the standard Urdu name. For instance, a woman by the name of Zahidan is rechristened Zahida. At times these names twist can be ludicrously derogatory.
- Male voters’ names and their parents’ are misspelled.
- Male voters’ have been included in the female voters’ lists in some cases in Larkana and Jacobabad districts and cities such as Lahore.
- Sometimes electoral roll cover carries the name of one union council or revenue estate but the voters listed actually belong to another union council or revenue estate.
- The name of electoral areas in many revenue estates have been written incorrectly.
Trouble with Blocks
- The newly computerized rolls do not appear to be block wise (or equivalent to 1,000 voters or more depending on the size of an area/part of a constituency) since many of them are lumped together haphazardly.
- In some instances in Shikarpur district even five blocks of different numbers are banded together in one book. Between 200 and 300 voters appear to be missing from a block in some cases.
- Upto 100 names are missing in some other cases.
Poor Mobilization Efforts by All Stakeholders
- Election Commission staff and poll trainers representing its partner organizations could not coordinate as planned on their voter mobilization initiatives.
- Awareness campaigns were not conducted by skilled or even trained individuals.
- Most of the country’s political parties did not bother to send their representatives to the constituencies where voter training and registration was undertaken.
- No clear guidelines were provided by the Election Commission about the legal aspects of the voting process.
Voter Exclusion
- Human-rights activists have voiced concern about the exclusion of Ahmedi voters from the single voters’ list which covers Muslims, Christians, Hindus, Sikhs and Parsis. Such overt forms of discrimination are making rights activists very uncomfortable.
66 Parties Submit Statement of Accounts with EC
A total of 66 political parties, including all the major ones, have submitted statement of their accounts with the Election Commission of Pakistan. Thus no major political party has floated the provision of the Political Parties Order 2002.
Previously election symbols were allotted to as many as 77 parties, but this time, only 66 parties would be issued the same. Hence, Hence 11 parties did not evince interest in complying with the PPO provisions., which would have enabled them to take part in upcoming elections.
Nominations
PML-Q Tickets:
Chief Minister (CM) Pervaiz Elahi on August 4 declared Foreign Minister Khurshid MehmoodKasuri as the Pakistan Muslim League’s (PML) candidate from NA-140, Kasur. This was decided in a meeting of PML leaders belonging to Kasur district at the Chief Minister’s Secretariat.
For NA-48, Ms. Aasya Azeem and for NA-49 Islamabad, the son of Former Deputy Speaker Haji Nawaz Kokhar, Mustafa Nawaz Kokhar have been awarded tickets by the party.
Punjab Parliamentary Secretary for Law Malik Muhammad Ahmed Khan would contest from PP-179 and Public Health Engineering Minister Sardar Hassan Akhtar would be a party candidate from PP-180.
PPP Tickets:
Malik Shaukat Hayat Awan and Mohammad Umar Tarar have been awarded tickets by the PPP Chairperson to contest elections from PP-105 and PP-106 respectively. Meanwhile, Ishaq Azhar, PP ex-district President Malik Maqsood Awan and PPP Students Federation District President Malik Arbab Akram Khan have thanked the PPP Chairperson for awarding tickets to sincere workers of the party.
The expected candidates for NA-51 Gujar Khan are Raja Pervez Asharaf (PPP), Raja Tariq Kiyani (PP-4 Gujar Khan) and Brig (R) Hassan (PP-3 Gujar Khan).
Ticket Awarding – Relatives instead of Merit
There are various nominations which indicate that the tickets have been awarded on the basis of relationship and not on merit. Following are few examples:
- From NA-49 Islamabad, PML-N Chairman Raja Zafar ul Haq would be contesting while his son would be the candidate from PP-3 Kahuta.
- General Secretary of Pakistan Peoples Party Parliamentarians (PPPP) Raja Pervez Asharaf will contest from NA-51 Gujar Khan, while his son is the candidate from the same constituency at the provincial level.
- Rawalpindi District Nazim’s younger son Raja Qalam Javed will be the candidate for PML-Q from NA-51 Gujar Khan.
- Former Deputy Speaker Nawaz Kokhar’s son Mustafa Kokhar will be PML-Q’s candidate from NA-49. He himself is not eligible to contest polls.
- Maulana Abdul Majeed Hazarvi, son of MNA Maulana Abdul Hakeem Hazarvi will contest from PP-11 Rawalpindi as a candidate of MMA.
- Union Nazim Badshah Mir Khan Afridi was MPA on the ticket of PML-Q. Now he has been able to get ticket by PML-Q for his son Zohaib Khan Afridi who is Graduate and will contest from PP-12.
- Qari Saeed ur Rehman (former Advisor to Punjab Provincial Minister)’s son Qari Attiq ur Rehman would be contesting elections on MMA ticket from Attock’s District Hazro.
- From Chakwal two sisters, Fauzia Behram and Palwasha Behram would be the candidates of PPP.
- From NA-52 and NA-54 Rawalpindi, two brothers, Raja Basharat and Raja Nasir would be the candidates for PML-Q.
- Wife of Chaudhary Azeem (PM-Q) would be contesting polls from the NA-48
- Chaudhary Sarfraz Afzal who is the son of Chaudhry Afzal (Former Chairman of the Rawalpindi District Council) would be the candidate on PML-N from PP-13 for the first time.
- PPP’s leader Mushtaq Chaudhry’s son Omer Mushtaq Chaudhary will contest polls from PP-12.
- UC Nazim Anjum Paracha got PPP ticket for his younger brother Aamir Paracha for NA-66.
PML-N, MMA Counter Grim Prospects in Jhang:
The Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) and Muttahida Majlis-i-Amal (MMA), the two major opposition parties, have just about no candidate to field in any of the six constituencies of the district. Both these parties face the ominous and embarrassing prospect of waiting for the rejected stuff after the display of the final list of candidates by the ruling PML and the Pakistan People’s Party (PPP). Office-bearers of both PML-N and MMA at the district level and their provincial and central leaders have been persuading political stalwarts and potential candidates to contest elections from their parties. As of now only a couple of candidates have consented to contest the provincial assembly election while nobody has accepted their offer to contest elections from any of the NA seats.
Strong candidates have their own priorities and they prefer to contest election on the ticket of a political party, whose chances to win the elections and form the government is bright. Since the ruling PML has made it clear to award tickets mostly to the incumbent MNAs and MPAs, the remaining lot of strong candidates are giving preference to the PPP, firstly due to the presence of a large PPP vote bank in all constituencies and secondly due to the impression that PPP is the most likely party to form the government, either on its own or in coalition with the ruling PML.
The NA-86 consists of Chiniot municipality and its rural areas and the ruling PML will certainly award the ticket to its MNA from Sargodha, Muhammad Tahir Shah. The PPP had received six applications from this constituency, including one from former MNA Amir Hussain Syed, but the ticket has been awarded to Syed Anayat Ali Shah, on the recommendation of their district President Qazi Ali Hassan. The MMA has no potential aspirant despite the presence of a sizable vote bank in the city. The PML-N, too, will either have to make a request to Qaiser A Sheikh to accept its ticket or to look for any of the PPP-rejected applicant.
The NA-87, comprising Bhowana town and Mochiwala rural constituency, has three PPP ticket aspirants - Abida Hussain’s MPA daughter Sughra Imam, Faisal Saleh’s former MNA brother Asad Hayat and former PML MNA Maulana Rehmatullah to challenge the ascendancy of Minister of State Ghulam Bibi Bharwana. Maulana Rehmatullah could opt either for the PML-N or MMA if refused a PPP ticket. Presently, both parties are without a single applicant.
The NA-88, consisting of Shahjewna, Lialian and Chenabnagar constituency, is all set to witness a clash of titans, involving two stalwarts of the national politics - Abida Hussain and Faisal Saleh Hayat on PPP and PML tickets, respectively. No other political party has any candidate from this constituency.
In NA-89, comprising Jhang city and Saddar areas, the PPP will award the ticket to its only applicant Dr Abul Hassan to contest elections against PML’s parliamentary secretary Sheikh Waqas Akram. Another strong candidate from this constituency is Maulana Muhammad Ahmed Ludhianvi of the Millat-i-Islamia Party. Both PML-N and MMA have no potential candidate from this constituency as well.
The NA-90 consists of Shorkot tehsil and some parts of Jhang tehsil. A tug of war is going on between Sahibzada Nazir Sultan and Saima Akhtar Bharwana (MNA) to grab the PML ticket. Tehsil Nazim Madhu Lal Hussain has applied for a PPP ticket. If Nazir Sultan gets the ruling party ticket, Saima will likely to switch over to the PPP.
The NA-91 comprises Ahmedpur Sial tehsil and 18 Hazari area of Jhang tehsil. Sahibzada Mehboob Sultan and Rana Ataullah have been awarded the PML and PPP tickets, respectively. The PML-N and MMA are still looking for an applicant from both NA-90 and NA-91 constituencies.
PML-Q receives 552 Applications for 342 NA Seats
PML-Q till August 23 has received about 550 applications for the 342 seats of the National Assembly. Punjab Chief Minister Chaudhry Pervez Elahi has already selected strong candidates from Punjab to contest elections on the PML-Q ticket. The same criteria has been adopted in Sindh where Chief Minister Dr. Arbab Gulham Rahim also wanted similar powers. Majority of party legislators from Seraiki belt are not showing much interest for party tickets and are looking forward to switch either to PML-N or the Pakistan People’s Party.
Next Candidate for PM
Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz on August 20 said that he would “always be a candidate” for Prime Minister’s office and indicated that both Presidential Election and general polls would be held on time. He told a group of editors and columnists during a visit to the provincial metropolis that the constituency from where he would contest the election was yet to be decided and hinted that he might be a candidate for more than one National Assembly seat.
While Pakistan Muslim League (PML) President Chaudhry Shujaat Hussain on August 22 rejected reports that Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz would be the party’s candidate for the premiership if the PML won the elections. Addressing a press conference at Punjab House, Hussain said that President Pervez Musharraf and the party would decide who would be the next Prime Minister.
Enforcement of Emergency and the Upcoming Elections
Media citing official sources reported that emergency was likely to be imposed in the country after midnight of August 8 or on August 9. There were reports that emergency could likely to be imposed in the country owing to worsening security situation in the tribal belt and possible US air strike on Al-Qaeda hideouts in Pakistan’s territory. Parliamentarian Sher Afghan Niazi said that current security situation could lead to the imposition of emergency. However, the deputy information minister rejected such report. There were also reports that Chauhdary Shujjat Hussain, President of the ruling Pakistan Muslim League (PML)-Q faction, hosted dinner for his party parliamentarians and informed about the prevailing situation and imposition of emergency in this regard.
Aitzaz Ahsan, opposition party member, in his guarded comments confirmed such reports. However, he said the decision has been taken due to the petition of former exiled Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif.
Then the people learnt that Condoleezza Rice had her 17 minute phone chat with President Musharraf at two in the morning, Islamabad time, and the clouds of ambiguity began to subside. While the world knows what the Americans had to say to Musharraf, only the Americans know what the general's response was.
The Supreme Court is to hear his petition of return to the country on Thursday. He was sent into exile to Saudi Arab after President Musharraf ousted his government in a bloodless coup.
Local channels also reported that initially the emergency will be imposed for a month and then later will be extended for three more months.
Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz on August 9 ruled out the imposition of emergency in the country for the time being. He said that I have sent no advice to the President for proclamation of emergency in the country and the rumors in this regard are being spread by those who believe in politics of agitation and confrontation. He further said that the constitutional provisions of emergency were only activated in certain circumstances and there is no need for such an action at present.
Meanwhile, Minister for Information and Broadcasting Muhammad Ali Durrani claimed that President General Pervez Musharraf had rejected proposals to impose emergency in the country. He said some proposals were made to the President to impose emergency in view of the emerging challenges of terrorism and extremism.
According to the Constitutional experts the proclamation of emergency in the country would usurp the rights of judiciary to take cognizance of any action defying the fundamental rights conferred by the constitution. Articles 232 to 235, of the constitution deal with the state of emergency in the country. They further said that the constitutional experts of the government were constantly studying the relevant laws and prose and cones of such proclamation.
US played Role in decision reversal: The United States played a key role in steering President Pervez Musharraf away from declaring a state of emergency in Pakistan and the acknowledgement of this role came from no less a person than President George W. Bush himself who urged the Pakistani leader to focus on free and fair elections in his country. Diplomatic sources told that Ms Rice made two telephone calls; the first at 5 p.m. Washington time on August 8 and the second on the morning of August 9. Her conversation with President Musharraf focused on the possible declaration of a state of emergency in Pakistan and the General’s refusal to attend a tribal jirga in Kabul, the sources said.
Chaudhry Shujat Hussain admitted that he also suggested to President Musharraf for imposition of a partial emergency in the country after suicide attack on Sherpao. He said that after suicide attack on Interior Minister Aftab Ahmed Sherpao, he suggested President Musharraf to impose a partial emergency in the country as terrorist and suicide attacks were escalating at that time, emphasizing partial emergency was the need of hour. He further said that if emergency was imposed in the country then Lal Masjid Operation could have never occurred nor suicide attacks in Waziristan. Shujat brushed aside the rumor that US Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice called President Musharraf to stop him from imposition of emergency stressing who is US to interfere in our internal matters. Regarding President uniform issue, he said that the President said that he would decide according to the Constitution.
BB – Musharraf Deal .
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Former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto on September 1 sthile addressing a press conference in London said that she had not yet reached a power-sharing deal with President General Pervez Musharraf, but planning to return to the country soon. She added that Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) would announce the precise date of her return on September 14 in Pakistan. She said that negotiations with Musharraf had stalled but added they had been “80 percent successful”. She believed that a “core” within the ruling Pakistan Muslim League (PML) had “created a fuss” over the negotiations. |
Conditions Set by Benazir for Cooperation with Regime
Ms Bhutto has put forward some conditions to the Government camp during the talks in London.
It said Ms Bhutto wanted Musahrraf to:
- Announce to doff his uniform and name his successor too
- All the politicians should be given indemnity across the board without any discrimination before they return to Pakistan
- Selection of members of caretaker set-up
- Balance between the powers of the President and the Prime Minister
- Fair and free elections
- Doing away with Constitutional clause which bars Ms Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif from holding office of Prime Minister for the third time
In return, the Government camp was seeking support of the PPP in the National Assembly to bring about a law to stop the Supreme Court of Pakistan from banning Musharraf from contesting elections in uniform and striking down of the clause that stops any Government servant from taking part in politics for two years.
US Concern Over Delay in Musharraf-BB Deal
With no immediate breakthrough in sight for Musharraf-Benazir deal, the United States, which is fully backing the efforts in this regard, has conveyed its profound displeasure to the two sides with a warning that delay in the formation of ‘moderate forces government’ could destabilize Pakistan.
The senior officials of Bush administration are in constant touch with Musharraf Government and Benazir-led People’s Party, and they have been urging the two sides to clinch a deal before it’s too late and Pakistan falls into the hands of extremists. However, the inability of two sides to agree on a deal to their mutual liking had perturbed the Bush administration and it had demanded afresh of the two camps to accelerate efforts for an early agreement, he said.
Analysis on Musharrf-BB Talks
Simon Robinson analyzes that what are the chances of Musharraf-BB deal and how far is the possibility that this deal could result in the betterment of Pakistan.
It is far from certain that Musharraf and Benazir can come to working agreement. Even if they can set aside their mutual antagonism and some early sticking points – like her insistence that he give up his military uniform – they face massive legal obstacles. For instance, it is up to the Supreme Court to decide whether the charges against Bhutto can be dropped, and whatever influence Musharraf may have had with the court has faded badly since his botched attempt this year to fire a top Judge. It is entirely possible that court could disqualify him from seeking re-election by citing a law that bars active military officers from holding political offices. For al these reasons, the General has not yet given up for his Plan A for survival: imposing martial law. He came within a whisker of invoking emergency powers on August 9; it took two phone calls from US Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice to talk him down.
There's little reason to believe that a Musharraf-Bhutto union would bring about the systemic change that Pakistan so desperately needs. Both leaders represent Pakistan's failed past, a history defined by close ties between the ruling élite and the military, recurrent corruption and the creeping Islamization of a country whose original vision was a more secular Muslim state. Partly for this reason, there's no guarantee that Musharraf and Bhutto would win enough votes to control the next Parliament. Eight years of military rule have left Pakistanis frustrated and angry. Many now see Musharraf as little more than a U.S. stooge. Meanwhile, support for Bhutto's party, the Pakistan People's Party, has been weakened by the revelation that she is contemplating a deal. "We are all exasperated. She was a symbol of democratic values, of decent values, of political and religious moderation," says Iftikhar Gilani, a Law Minister under Bhutto. "Benazir has lost credibility because of this deal with a dictator." So a pairing could end up weakening both sides rather than strengthening them.
Washington is hopeful that a deal can be worked out. But it knows that Musharraf has a history of getting out of a mess by taking out his weapons. As an Administration official puts it, "The question still becomes, At what point does his tendency as a commando to, you know, blow his way out of the situation, take over?"
Will the Exile Leaders would be Able to come Back Before Elections?
President General Pervez Musharraf has said that the next General Elections will be held under the supervision of an interim set-up and the three exiled leaders should not return to the country before elections because political stability is needed to hold elections on time. He said the agreement with former Premier Nawaz Sharif and his brother Shahbaz Sharif would be produced in the court at a proper time. The president was talking to All Pakistan Newspapers Society's office-bearers and Executive Body members at the Presidency on August 11.
Supreme Court’s Verdict on the Return of Sharif Family
A seven-member larger bench of the Supreme Court on August 23 unanimously ruled that former Premier Muhammad Nawaz Sharif and his brother Shahbaz Sharif could come return to Pakistan at any time. Headed by Chief Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry, the bench accepted the constitutional petitions of the Sharif brothers in which they had asked the court to instruct the Government not to hinder their return.
Mian Nawaz Sharif on August 30 th announced while addressing a press conference that he along with Shahbaz Sharif would return home on September 10 following the recommendations of his Party and the APDM.
The Government established contacts with the authorities in Saudi Arabia in the wake of the announcement made by Nawaz Sharif to return to Pakistan on September 10, disregarding the ‘undertaking’ with international guarantors. The Government is confident that the Sharif brothers would not be able to make their return to Pakistan as a result of the interference by the Saudi elders. An envoy of the Saudi leadership is expected to contact the Sharif brothers in a day or two to remind them of the understanding pertaining to their exile from the country till December 2010. Visibly upset over the Sharif brothers’ announcement, the Presidency is exploring a number of steps to deal with the development including diverting the Sharif brothers plane to Jeddah, boarding them on arrival here, to yet another Jeddah-bound flight and declaring Islamabad airport as a ‘no go area’ on the D-day. Resorting to some extraordinary legal measures is also being studied as a last resort on the political side to deal with the upcoming situation.
Pakistan People's Party Chairperson and former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto will be announcing the date of her return to the country on September 14.
Other News
Release of Jawed Hashmi
On August 3, the Supreme Court ordered immediate release of PML-N leader Makhdoom Javed Hashmi who was jailed in 2004 on treason charges. Javed Hashmi released from the Kot Lakhpat Jail, Lahore, on August 4.
Javed Hashmi, who is also Parliamentary Leader of the PML-N, was sentenced to a consolidated jail term of 23 years in April 12, 2004, on sedition charges by Islamabad District and Sessions Judge Chaudhry Asad Raza. The sentence was to run concurrently requiring the convict to serve seven years. However, the SC short order said his sentence stood suspended till the pendency of his appeal before the LHC, adding that the detailed reasons would be recorded later.
Political leaders belonging to the opposition and the ruling party have welcomed the release of Makhdoom Javed Hashmi, acting president of the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N).
No Allotment of Motivational Symbols
In a major development, the government has decided that no election symbol carrying motivational attachment of the masses would be awarded to any political party. The decision was taken at the highest level as Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) has been advised to avoid awarding such symbols, which exploit the emotions of voters.
Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal (MMA) would be the first to be effected by this decision as they are no more getting the symbol of book in next elections. MMA in 2002 elections depicted their symbol of book as Holy Quran and exploited the voters on religious grounds. The entire list of election symbols was revised at the highest level and all such signs were removed from the catalog.
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